Hércules vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ONT
0 - 1
HER
39%
24%
36%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1963 |
VAL
5 - 2
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
HER
1 - 0
REC
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
HER
1 - 0
HOS
89%
8%
4%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ELD
0 - 1
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ELD
4 - 1
SFE
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
REC
2 - 0
ELD
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 2
VAL
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
SPO
2 - 0
ELD
76%
14%
11%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |