Hércules vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 2
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
72%
15%
12%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
MUR
1 - 0
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
HER
3 - 1
PUL
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
RJA
2 - 1
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
ELD
2 - 0
CCF
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
CAA
1 - 1
ELD
43%
22%
35%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
ELD
0 - 3
CEU
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
MAL
1 - 2
ELD
67%
18%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
ELD
7 - 0
CDB
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +3 |