Hércules vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
EXT
2 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
HER
1 - 3
REC
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
PUL
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ELD
2 - 1
PUL
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
XER
2 - 0
ELD
61%
19%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ELD
2 - 1
SFE
62%
20%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
LEV
6 - 1
ELD
61%
20%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
ELD
1 - 0
CDB
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |