Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-0
Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
OSA
0 - 1
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
HER
3 - 0
GET
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
ELC
0 - 1
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
RMC
0 - 1
HER
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
HER
2 - 0
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ELC
1 - 3
XER
56%
26%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 2
ELC
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
ELC
0 - 1
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
ELC
1 - 0
BEN
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
EUR
2 - 3
ELC
23%
28%
49%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |