Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
ZAR
0 - 1
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
ALG
2 - 0
HER
28%
31%
41%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
HER
2 - 0
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
CEL
3 - 1
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
HER
3 - 0
REC
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
ELC
0 - 1
VCF
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
ELC
4 - 0
ATH
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
CFC
0 - 0
ELC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 2
DEP
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
RAC
0 - 0
ELC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |