Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 1
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
VCF
2 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ZAR
52%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
VAD
1 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1981 |
HER
3 - 3
SEV
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 1
ELC
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
ELC
1 - 1
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
ELC
0 - 1
ALM
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
BUR
0 - 1
ELC
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 2
ELC
20%
30%
50%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |