Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
83%
10%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
83%
10%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELC
1 - 2
ATH
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ELC
2 - 2
LEV
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |