Hércules vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
HER
0 - 1
UDL
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
CAD
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
HER
2 - 3
LEV
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
HER
2 - 3
ELD
79%
13%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAD
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
SFE
2 - 2
GRA
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
VAL
0 - 1
SFE
70%
16%
14%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 1
PUL
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1962 |
CDT
5 - 0
SFE
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |