Hércules vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
HER
4 - 1
PUL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
HER
0 - 0
RJA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
CFC
3 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
SFE
0 - 1
LEV
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 0
VAD
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 2
SFE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
SFE
0 - 0
REC
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CAD
1 - 1
SFE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |