Hércules vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ALG
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
35%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
HER
3 - 3
VAD
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
MEL
1 - 2
HER
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
BAD
1 - 4
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CON
0 - 0
CDB
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
MUR
2 - 1
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
CON
3 - 0
RAY
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
CON
1 - 2
OVI
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
CEU
3 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |