Hércules vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
RCF
1 - 1
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
HER
1 - 2
JFC
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
ZAR
0 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
HER
1 - 0
RSO
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
ALC
2 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
CON
2 - 2
RAC
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
CUL
4 - 3
CON
61%
19%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
CEL
36%
23%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
BET
2 - 0
CON
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |