Hércules vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 2
HER
41%
23%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
55%
21%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
CAS
8 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
CON
5 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 3
CON
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
CON
1 - 0
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ALC
2 - 1
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 1
CON
53%
21%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |