Hércules vs CD Colonia Moscardó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
DEP
4 - 1
HER
73%
19%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
CAD
48%
28%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
UES
2 - 0
HER
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
PUE
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
BET
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
COL
0 - 0
LOG
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
COL
2 - 0
DEP
20%
30%
50%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
CAD
1 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
COL
0 - 0
UES
26%
32%
42%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
PUE
2 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |