Hércules vs Segarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
RSO
9 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
5 - 1
HER
42%
22%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
HER
3 - 0
MAL
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
RCF
0 - 1
HER
48%
20%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
47%
21%
33%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Segarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
CDS
1 - 0
ALI
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ORI
4 - 0
CDS
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ELD
2 - 2
CDS
49%
21%
30%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
CDS
2 - 0
ACE
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
CDS
2 - 0
OLI
77%
13%
10%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |