Hércules vs CF Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
HER
2 - 2
CEU
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
RAY
78%
14%
9%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
HER
8 - 2
CAD
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
EXT
1 - 1
SFE
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 0
EXT
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
EXT
3 - 2
UDL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
CAD
3 - 1
EXT
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
EXT
3 - 2
CCF
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |