Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
64%
20%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
HER
1 - 0
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
CDT
3 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
HER
2 - 0
MEL
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 4
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
BUR
1 - 0
CEL
47%
25%
27%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
CEL
1 - 3
RAC
53%
22%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
UPL
1 - 1
CEL
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
ESP
3 - 1
CEL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |