Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-4
Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
90%
7%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
HER
3 - 2
ATH
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
RAC
1 - 1
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
UDL
1 - 1
HER
53%
22%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
UDL
3 - 1
CEL
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ATM
4 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
RMA
5 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
CEL
1 - 1
ESP
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |