Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
REC
3 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
HER
2 - 1
CAD
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ALB
0 - 2
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
HER
3 - 2
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
CCF
0 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
MAL
1 - 1
LEV
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
MAL
3 - 1
UDL
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
REC
1 - 1
MAL
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAD
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ALB
1 - 1
MAL
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |