Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
HER
3 - 1
ALI
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1958 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
65%
19%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
70%
17%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
CAD
2 - 1
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
HER
4 - 2
ALC
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
PUL
2 - 1
MAL
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MAL
4 - 3
XER
65%
19%
15%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
SFE
3 - 1
MAL
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
ALC
5 - 1
MAL
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
MAL
1 - 1
LEV
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |