Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
LLE
5 - 1
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
HER
2 - 2
BAR
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
47%
23%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
HER
2 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAL
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 2
RJA
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 1
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
47%
23%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |