Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
BAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
HER
2 - 0
ALI
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
PUL
1 - 0
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
HER
2 - 0
LEV
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
MLL
3 - 0
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MAL
2 - 0
SLA
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAL
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
MAL
4 - 0
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAL
29%
23%
48%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
MAL
5 - 1
ATB
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |