Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
HER
4 - 3
ATM
28%
23%
50%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ZAR
3 - 0
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
HER
4 - 0
GRA
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
GIM
5 - 2
HER
56%
20%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 1
MAL
88%
8%
4%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
GRA
4 - 2
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
MAL
5 - 3
GIM
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
4 - 2
MAL
73%
16%
12%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |