Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
SDC
4 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
HER
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
HER
1 - 1
JFC
78%
14%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
MAL
3 - 2
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
MUR
2 - 3
MAL
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
0 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |