Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
MUR
0 - 0
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
HER
3 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
MAL
3 - 1
ELC
57%
20%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
LEV
2 - 2
MAL
48%
22%
31%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
MAL
5 - 2
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
MUR
3 - 2
MAL
84%
10%
6%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
MAL
3 - 0
GIM
75%
15%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |