Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
FCB
2 - 0
HER
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ELD
2 - 0
HER
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
SSC
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
DEP
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
OVI
2 - 1
CAS
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
2 - 1
CFC
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 1
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |