Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
28%
29%
44%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
HER
3 - 0
MLL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
HER
1 - 1
DEP
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
CAS
1 - 2
MLL
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAS
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAD
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
LEV
0 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
OSA
1 - 0
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |