Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
BAS
4 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
RAY
0 - 2
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
MAL
62%
20%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
BAS
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
CAD
0 - 1
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
PON
4 - 1
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
CAS
0 - 4
PUL
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
CAS
3 - 0
PON
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEV
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |