Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
CCF
4 - 3
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
HER
2 - 3
XER
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
SFE
2 - 0
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CDT
1 - 1
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
CAS
1 - 2
MUR
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MAL
2 - 2
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
CAS
0 - 0
EXT
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
SDC
4 - 1
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAS
1 - 1
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |