Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 2
HER
75%
14%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 0
HER
76%
14%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
46%
23%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
CAS
1 - 1
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
4 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
VCF
2 - 0
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
36%
24%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |