Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-7
Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
5 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
HER
0 - 5
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
7 - 1
HER
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
5 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RSO
7 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 0
DEP
45%
22%
34%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 0
RSO
39%
22%
40%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |