Hércules vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
MAL
3 - 1
HER
76%
13%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
HER
0 - 0
BAL
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ALI
0 - 1
HER
49%
22%
30%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
HER
3 - 1
PUL
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
LEV
1 - 2
HER
50%
21%
28%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
CAR
3 - 0
SLA
48%
21%
31%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
CAR
0 - 2
ATB
71%
15%
14%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
MAL
8 - 2
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |