Hércules vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
HER
20%
26%
55%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
AND
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 1
ZAR
31%
29%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 0
BUR
53%
28%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 2
VIL
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 1
BUR
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
LEG
29%
31%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |