Hércules vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
ATM
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
RMA
2 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
HER
70%
18%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 2
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 2
BUR
49%
28%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
RMA
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |