Hércules vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
CDO
0 - 1
HER
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
HER
2 - 0
DEP
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
SAB
0 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
HER
3 - 1
VAD
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
LIN
2 - 0
HER
30%
31%
40%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 0
CAD
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
LEV
1 - 0
BUR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 0
SEV
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
RAY
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
CDT
3 - 0
BUR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |