Hércules vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
CAD
0 - 1
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
HER
1 - 2
UDL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
VAL
2 - 2
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
RJA
4 - 0
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
BAS
2 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
RSO
0 - 1
BAS
53%
21%
27%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
BAS
3 - 1
SSC
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
CEL
5 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
BAS
3 - 1
DEP
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |