Hércules vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
SPO
4 - 0
HER
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
MAL
1 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1985 |
HER
2 - 0
VCF
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
MUR
0 - 2
HER
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
FCB
1 - 0
MAL
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VCF
2 - 5
FCB
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1985 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
72%
16%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
RSO
0 - 0
FCB
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |