Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Hércules vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
RSO
2 - 0
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
HER
3 - 1
CUL
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ESP
2 - 0
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
HER
0 - 3
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
70%
17%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1956 |
KOB
1 - 1
FCB
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 11 | 78 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
CUL
0 - 1
FCB
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ATH
1 - 0
FCB
63%
19%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEL
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |