Hércules vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
HER
3 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
GRA
7 - 2
HER
33%
22%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
HER
3 - 1
RSO
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
VCF
7 - 1
HER
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 2
RMA
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 1
FCB
18%
17%
66%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
FCB
6 - 3
OVI
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 1
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ATM
5 - 4
FCB
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |