Hércules vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RAC
4 - 2
HER
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
SEV
41%
21%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
VCF
5 - 2
HER
64%
18%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
ATM
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
93%
5%
2%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FCB
1 - 0
BET
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 2
FCB
77%
13%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
FCB
5 - 0
OSA
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
RMA
3 - 0
FCB
70%
15%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
OVI
2 - 1
FCB
59%
18%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |