Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
AGD
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 1
TER
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
AGD
0 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 3
TER
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
AGD
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 0
CEL
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |