Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
47%
23%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
HER
2 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MEL
2 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
BAR
1 - 5
SLA
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
AVI
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUL
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SAB
1 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BAR
3 - 2
EIB
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |