Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
LEV
4 - 1
HER
61%
18%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
HER
5 - 2
GRA
52%
22%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
MLL
3 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
HER
6 - 2
VAD
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
DEP
2 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BAR
3 - 0
RCD
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
RCF
4 - 0
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
LEV
5 - 1
BAR
80%
12%
9%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
BAR
3 - 2
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
MLL
3 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |