Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1945 |
CON
3 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
HER
6 - 1
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
JFC
3 - 0
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
HER
2 - 0
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
RSO
0 - 0
HER
66%
17%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1945 |
BAR
0 - 3
RAC
45%
22%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
CUL
1 - 0
BAR
69%
17%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
BAR
3 - 3
CEL
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
BET
3 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SDC
3 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |