Hércules vs Atlético Marbella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
CFC
1 - 0
HER
43%
28%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
HER
0 - 1
MEL
75%
18%
7%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
BAL
1 - 1
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
OLI
70%
20%
11%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
AMA
2 - 0
TOR
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ELD
1 - 0
AMA
44%
31%
25%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
AMA
1 - 1
GAN
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
AMA
1 - 1
CFC
50%
28%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
MEL
0 - 0
AMA
42%
31%
27%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |