Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
38.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
SLA
0 - 1
HER
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
FCB
6 - 1
HER
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
HER
1 - 1
RSO
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
SPO
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
IND
72%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
ATM
5 - 2
VCF
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATM
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 1
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATM
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |