Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
61%
19%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
HER
1 - 2
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
HER
3 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
52%
21%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ATM
0 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
VCF
6 - 1
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 0
ATM
71%
15%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |