Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
4 - 0
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 1
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
7 - 2
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 2
DEP
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
FCB
4 - 4
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRA
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 4
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ATM
4 - 1
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 3
ATM
52%
21%
28%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
61%
19%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |