Hércules vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
70%
17%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
HER
4 - 0
VCF
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 1
HER
88%
8%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
HER
1 - 4
SEV
31%
24%
46%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
VAD
3 - 0
HER
66%
19%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
ATH
2 - 2
DEP
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATH
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
RSO
2 - 2
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 0
CUL
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |