Hércules vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
GRA
7 - 2
HER
33%
22%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
HER
3 - 1
RSO
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
VCF
7 - 1
HER
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 2
RMA
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
CEL
4 - 1
HER
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 2
CAS
95%
4%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATH
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
1 - 1
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATH
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |