Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-3
Hércules vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
GAN
1 - 3
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
TOR
5 - 1
HER
24%
31%
45%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
HER
2 - 0
ELD
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
AMA
1 - 1
HER
28%
31%
41%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
ARO
2 - 1
LUG
48%
28%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
BER
2 - 0
ARO
35%
31%
34%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
ARO
4 - 1
CUL
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
CDO
2 - 0
ARO
63%
24%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
RCF
0 - 0
ARO
28%
30%
42%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |